Oil Rose 13.6% in October. Gold Fell 6.5%. The Market Is Betting on the Central Banks.
Brent rose 13.6% in October. Gold fell 6.5%. Markets are pricing the Iran war as a central bank problem, and that has turned gold into a funding source.
Brent rose 13.6% in October. Gold fell 6.5%. Markets are pricing the Iran war as a central bank problem, and that has turned gold into a funding source.
BUI pays 6.91% monthly from income and gains, not return of capital, while the AI trade wobbles. The catch: five years of flat price.
AMLP yields 7.6% on a payout that grew from $0.71 to $1.03 a quarter since 2022. The structure, the tax drag and the concentration explained.
QQQI pays a 14.28% distribution rate and captured 80% of QQQ's up months, but on Friday's 3.5% Nasdaq-100 drop it fell 3.29%.
Brazil's ETF fell 19.8% in a day after Lula's upset win. Emerging markets fell 0.31%. A crowded trade, a contained shock and the Bank of Japan next.
Q3 GDP grew 3.4%, but real disposable income fell 0.27% in September and the saving rate dropped to 3.8%, its lowest since October 2022.
CCC spreads hit 13.56% on Oct. 23, wider than the April 2025 shock, while BB barely moved. The junk market is no longer one market.
Quits are 18% below 2019, hiring 15% below and layoffs 17% below. Jobless claims are at 194,000. The labor market is not weak or strong. It is still.
Utilities and staples both beat a flat S&P 500 by more than 7% in a month. In 11 of 15 prior cases an 8%+ drawdown followed within three months. Credit has not confirmed yet.
AI spenders are cutting buybacks and borrowing at record pace. Investment-grade spreads are at their widest since March. Why the marginal buyer of the largest stocks has changed and what credit is saying about the AI build.
How TDAX, the TDAQ LIFT ETF, provides daily leveraged exposure to TappAlpha's Nasdaq-100 daily covered call strategy into a hiking cycle — and what a daily leveraged fund requires of the investor who uses it.
The AI hardware trade in Korea, Taiwan and Japan sold off together last week while India held steady. Why the yen carry trade and back-to-back Fed and Bank of Japan decisions make the coming week the real test.